Showing posts with label techonomy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label techonomy. Show all posts

November 13, 2012

6.5 billion mobile subscribers by 2018

A number of speakers on a panel at the Techonomy 2012 conference talked about how the world will change when everyone is online.

Douglas L. Gilstrap, senior vice president and head of strategy for leading Internet infrastructure provider Ericsson, said that there are now 650 million subscribers to traditional wired phone service, but that by 2018, there will be 6.5 billion mobile subscribers. LTE, which he said is 10 times as fast as those when T1 lines were introduced, should cover 50 percent of the population by 2018.

This, he said, will bring access to information, health care, and education to more and more people. He noted that 70 percent of new mobile broadband subscriptions will come from Asia/the Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa.

November 30, 2011

China: The New Techonomic Power

This session at Techonomy 2011 features Ned Hooper of Cisco, Doreen Lorenzo of frog, and Guo Xiao of ThoughtWorks. Gary Rieschel of Qiming Venture Partners moderates.

Watch live streaming video from techonomy at

Fast Cycle Experimentation in Companies and Countries

Techcrunch - At the 2011 Techonomy conference, Intuit co-founder Scott Cook was pretty radical in his economic and political analysis. Arguing that all companies need to turn themselves upside down, he told me that it’s the young technology entrepreneur – the Zuckerberg or the Shawn Fanning – who is most skilled at navigating today’s ever-turbulent economic waters. The video of the interview is below.

It’s in his political analysis that Cook really went nuclear. Arguing that “if you pay peanuts, you get monkeys”, he made the case for the Singapore or China model of economic growth, where great (and old) leaders have been able to reinvent their countries. In China, for example, Cook uses the example of Deng Xiaoping’s establishment of “Special Economic Zones” such as in Shenzhen that, he says, resulted in 300 million Chinese people being liberated from “grinding poverty”.

March 28, 2011

Doubling the size of a city boosts per capita income and creativity by 15%

The three major economic mega-urban zones are the pearl river delta in the south (merging into one 42 million person city) and Yangtze River delta around Shanghai and the Bohai economic rim

Geoffrey West and the Sante Fe Institute performed a study of cities and found that if the size of a city doubles, then, on average, wages, wealth, the number of patents, and the number of educational and research institutions all increase by approximately the same degree, about 15 percent. They refer to this systematic phenomenon as “superlinear scaling”: The bigger the city, the more the average citizen owns, produces, and consumes, whether it’s goods, resources, or ideas. As urban creatures we all participate in this process, manifested in the metropolitan buzz of productivity, speed, and ingenuity. Doubling the size of a city increases wealth and innovation by about 15 percent, but it also increases the amount of crime, pollution, and disease by roughly the same amount.

China is trying to capture superlinear scaling effects by economically integrating cities into regions that are 8-16 times larger. Success would mean a 45-60% boost in per capita income, productivity and creativity.

March 11, 2011

Compass Summit follow up to Techonomy

There will be a new conference called the Compass Summit which is an outgrowth of the Techonomy conference which I attended in August of 2010

Compass Summit will take place Oct. 24-26 at the Terranea Resort in Rancho Palos Verdes, CA.

Compass Summit is created by four of the original founders of Techonomy in an effort to expand and evolve the original program we debuted at Lake Tahoe in 2010. Compass is a broader and more focused look at what’s possible and what’s important when leaders contemplate solutions to some of the big, global challenges and economic opportunities facing their organizations and our society.

The team includes Brent Schlender and Peter Petre, two of the key editorial voices that designed the Techonomy manifesto and program; Carolyn Jones, the creative director who orchestrated the experience of the conference and produced all the video and educational materials from the conference; and Michael Christman, the executive producer. Participants who relished that inaugural effort should take a close look at the Compass Summit program and philosophy to see how we have both remained true to our original ideas, and taken them to the next level.

November 30, 2010

Techonomy - Facebook founder launches Jumo a social network for charities

Facebook co-founder Chris Hughes has launched his much-buzzed-about social network, Jumo. Hughes, who left Facebook (Facebook) in 2007 to become the Obama campaign’s director of online organizing, soft-launched Jumo last March.

Jumo was designed to let users find, follow and support the causes important to them, and with 3,500 organizations on board at launch, would-be philanthropists should be able to find and follow something of interest upon joining

Chris Hughes made an introduction to Jumo at the Techonomy conference.

"We need to create a network between individuals and organizations working for public change," says Hughes, who co-founded Facebook and coordinated, the campaign's social networking site. Now he's running a website called Jumo, that's designed to apply the social graph to the non-profit world. He says his goal is to "give users a reason to connect and make it easy to connect—open opportunities for groups to better collaborate."

August 09, 2010

Bill Gates Talks about Education, Healthcare, Politics and Technology

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Bill Gates speaking at Technomy feels that we have been spoiled by Moore's law

"We've all been spoiled and deeply confused by the IT model," Gates said, answering an audience question at last week's Techonomy conference. "Exponential improvement--that is rare."

Gates said that there are isolated segments of technology that do produce that rate of improvement.

"We do see it," Gates said. "We see it in hard disk storage, fiber capacity, gene-sequencing rates, biological databases, improvements in modeling software. There are some things where exponential improvement is there."

But other areas, particularly around energy, haven't always produced that kind of change. In particular batteries and energy storage have seen little improvement.

There is a one hour Cspan video of Bill Gates speaking about Education and Healthcare on July 8, 2010 at the Aspen Institute.

August 06, 2010

Techonomy - a Conversation With David Gelertner

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David Gelertner was writing about the concept of Lifestreams back in 1995 and 1996 and predicted the modern internet in the book Mirror Worlds in 1991.

A lifestream is a time-ordered stream of documents that functions as a diary of your electronic life; every document you create and every document other people send you is stored in your lifestream. The tail of your stream contains documents from the past (starting with your electronic birth certificate). Moving away from the tail and toward the present, your stream contains more recent documents --- papers in progress or new electronic mail; other documents (pictures, correspondence, bills, movies, voice mail, software) are stored in between. Moving beyond the present and into the future, the stream contains documents you will need: reminders, calendar items, to-do lists.

You manage your lifestream through a small number of powerful operators that allow you to transparently store information, organize information on demand, filter and monitor incoming information, create reminders and calendar items in an integrated fashion, and "compress" large numbers of documents into overviews or executive summaries

August 05, 2010

Techonomy- Reinventing Industry The Techonomic mindset at work

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Reinventing Industry: The Techonomic Mindset at Work
K. Venkatesh Prasad, Ford
Padmasree Warrior, Cisco

Moderator: David Kirkpatrick
500 million commuter hours per week. 4 times that for the world.
Get the internet to work at mobile speeds for passengers. Ford thinking of the vehicle as a platform. There are one billion cars and trucks now.
There was not that much that I found interesting in the talk. there was some more discussion of some improvements to Fords strategy and processes. Using one platform for their cars and putting tophats or the variable part of the car.

Techonomy - Moving from an Oil based to Bio-based Society

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Bio-based Society
Steen Riisgaard, Novozymes A/S
Joined by: Steve Jurvetson, Draper Fisher Jurvetson
Steen Riisgaard- A lot of the worlds products is based upon cheap oil. We need to replace oil at its low price but without its high cost.
Projection of $232 billion biofuel and bioproducts industry in 2020.
First we need to develop the sugar platform. Sugar produced with cheap processes and renewable sources. Biofuels are the volume driver to enable other products.
90% of oil is burned and 10% is used for chemicals.
Brazil wants to export 10% of world oil demand using biofuel

Techonomy - Reinventing Life Sciences: Realizing the full potential of the New

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Reinventing Life Sciences: Realizing the full potential of the New Biology

Speaker: Stephen Quake, Stanford University
Introduced by: Rodney Pearlman, RPM Pharma

Joined by: Brook Byers, Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers
Susan Desmond-Hellmann, UCSF

fluidic integrated circuits, formulator device (2004),
Now microfluidic LSI (2002-2007)
Fluidigm corporation was set up to monetize microfluidic work

Techonomy - Reinventing Fire: How business can lead us beyond fossil fuels

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Reinventing Fire: How business can lead us beyond fossil fuels
Presentation by: Amory Lovins, Rocky Mountain Institute
Joined by: John McDonald, Chevron
Moderator: Peter Petre

Need to look not just as technology and policy but also design and strategy.
Shifting of peak oil from supply to demand

Winning the oil endgame - (2004) elimate oil usage in the US by 2040s.
Triple efficiency cars, trucks and planes would payback in 1 to a few years.

Hypercar SUV. (2000)
Toyota 1/x (2007)
Bright Idea van
One interesting point is that Amory touts the buildout of solar and wind power in China and then disparages the Chinese command economy building a lot of nuclear power.

I have previously written about how Amory Lovins distorts nuclear energy.
Amory pushes "micropower", which is mostly diesel, biomass and natural gas of small and big sizes. Natural gas has 4 deaths per TWH (Externe source). So 2500 Twh (to displace nuclear power) would be 10,000 deaths per year. The diesel (oil) portion is 35 deaths per TWH. The biomass about 10 deaths per TWH (35,000 deaths per year if diesel was the main source). The blended rate of deaths per TWH from micropower is over 12 deaths per TWH. Far higher than the 0.65 deaths per TWH calculated by Externe for nuclear power. Even if the micropower deaths per TWH was cut in half for lower distribution losses the number is still far higher. Diesel and natural gas are not renewable. Over 75% of the power that Lovins is talking about is diesel, natural gas and biomass.

Techonomy - Reinventing Financial Markets

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Reinventing [financial] Markets
J. Doyne Farmer, Santa Fe Institute
Duncan Niederauer, NYSE Euronext
Barry E. Silbert, SecondMarket

Moderator: Justin Fox, Harvard Business Review

What is wrong about financial markets today ?
trust has been destroyed
Nothing new is being created other than products
the public markets are closed to companies below a certain size

We really do not understand how to predict and prevent a collapse

We need a private enterprise solution
Cost of running a company has been allowed to run amock and that is suffocating the smaller companies. The job creation engine will kick into gear when we enable the smaller companies to get access to the public markets.
No solutions in the financial reform bill except for a 20 page section of an office of financial research 

Perspective on Techonomy - Commentary: John Hagel, Deloitte Center for the Edge

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Techonomy is trying to get a movement going. A bias toward action.

There is a lot of opportunity in the 5 exabytes of data but there is also danger. Danger of ignoring tacit knowledge. It is more about the how and less the what and the why.

Tacit knowledge cannot be accessed without trust based relationships.
This leads to a third element which is talent development.
How do you foster talent development on the job and lifelong learning

Another movement in play around the world. Growth of religious fundamentalism. Choices to response :
1. Ignore it
2. Fight it
3. Engage it. But to engage must understand,
John Hagel is for engaging.

Techonomy - Managing the Unmanageable: The New Empowered Workforce

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Liveblogging the Techonomy conference - Managing the Unmanageable: The New Empowered Workforce

Vineet Nayar, HCL Technologies
Jeff Weiner, LinkedIn
Rajeev Singh-Molares, Alcatel-Lucent
Moderator: David Kirkpatrick
Tweet your questions to : @TCMTQA

Vineet wrote the book Employees First and Customers Seconds (google book link). HCL Technologies has 64000 employees in 26 countries and is a competitor to Wipro and Infosys.

Any employee can create a ticket related to how the company is managed and how the executives is operating. The manager has to ensure it get answered, but only the employee can close the ticket as resolved.

August 04, 2010

Reflections on David Christians Techonomy Talk

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David Christian had an interesting talk with a Big History view of the universe. He had the long view of the universe, life on earth, humanity and human civilization. His point was that the collective intelligence of humanity can be used to make a civilization with a smaller environmental footprint while still making everyone happy.

Techonomy - Reinventing the Economy - Combination, Complexity and Value

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Reinventing the Economy: Combination, complexity and value
Speaker: Brian Arthur, Santa Fe Institute

all of the complexity in the world has arisen from combining simpler things

Economist used to have a view that the economy exists stand alone and then inventions and technology are originated (the economists did not know how) and then they were integrated into the economy

Later study - technology are created from simpler objects (pre-existing technology).
Discusses the lunar landing as the sum of multi-stage rocketry, space capable enclosures for keeping astronauts alive, orbiting and other capabilities

I am finding nothing useful in what he is saying

Techonomy - Reinventing Intelligence

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Reinventing Intelligence: Why collective learning makes humans so different
Speaker: David Christian, Macquarie University
Introduced by: Brent Schlender

David Christian, WCU visiting professor at seoul
Understanding humans : like ants on elephants
Scholarship of humanity - we do not have a whole view.
Failed attempts to define and understand humanity
1964 - humans as tool users (Louis and Merry Leaky)
Jane Goodall (showed chimps and Gorillas, crows using tools)

Man the Hunter?
Many other primates hunt

Techonomy Plenary Session - Philosophy and Turning the World to a Techonomic Direction

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What will cities of the future look like
Unleash collaborative energies and capabilities of everyone
Need new ideas for climate and global growth ?
Enough water, resouces and energy
Recycle waste
Energy with less environmental impact
Imagine a clean future
Technology and Innovation in all things
Techonomy = Technology (invention) and economics
The three founders (David Kirkpatrick, Brent Schlender and Peter Petre) and Bill Joy was a key advisor. Partnering with 100 people and Intel.
Kaplan creating Techonomy courses and integrating into business courses.
Challenges (resource depletion, climate change, etc...)

Liveblogging the Techonomy Conference Today and Tomorrow

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I will be liveblogging the Techonomy conference (Technology and Innovation) conference today and tomorrow.

I will start at about noon today.

Besides high powered speakers there are many high powered attendees a list of some of them is below.