tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17555522.post6973139575427912708..comments2007-08-20T09:12:10.302-07:00bwhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07541279438184352860noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17555522.post-45266200581897879072007-08-20T09:12:00.000-07:002007-08-20T09:12:00.000-07:00The EIA projection there does seem a bit off. Using the business as usual case for the american wind industry it looks like a continuation of 2000 to 4500 MWe/year or about 5 billion kwh to 13 billion kwh per year. 9 billion kwh per year avg to 2020. so about 120 billion kwh added. <BR/><BR/>The AWEA growth case which would involve more government policy commitment and coordinated building of grid infrastructure would be about double to about 240 billion kwh. <BR/><BR/>The new nuclear energy versus new wind would either still be more or about the same.<BR/><BR/>I hope that both get built as fast as possible to reduce the addition of a base case of 1000 billion kwh of coal to go with the existing 2000 billion kwh. More coal is more deaths from air pollution and coal mining and coal transportation.bwhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07541279438184352860noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17555522.post-14028927571218407732007-08-20T08:46:00.000-07:002007-08-20T08:46:00.000-07:00In your ref EIA projection for renewable energy, Table 16, wind capacity and generation data are highly suspect. Actual wind capacity has been recently increasing in the range of 2500 to 4000 MWe/year. This is shown in the table, increasing from 7 to 16 GWe from 2004-2007. But then it stops, increasing only zero to about 200 MWe per year until 2020.<BR/><BR/>Wind generation is shown as increasing from 14 to 46 BkWh from just 2004-2007, but then to just 51 BkWh in 2020.<BR/><BR/>This seems to be either as ignorant or intentionally manipulated as EIA is with nuclear power projections.<BR/><BR/>Regards, Jim MuckerheideMuckerheidehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15769399891112637855noreply@blogger.com