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December 19, 2011

China increases solar power target for 2015 to 15 gigawatts and World projections for 2011 and 2015

China has set a target for installed solar power generating capacity to reach 15 gigawatts by 2015 and wind power capacity to hit 100 GW, China National Radio reported, citing an announcement from the National Energy Administration. The solar power capacity by 2015 to be 50 pct over previous plan from just earlier in 2011. Annual solar power output will reach 20 billion kilowatt hours by 2015 and wind power output 190 billion kWh.

The 15 GWp solar target would likely put China in 4th or 5th place in the world for solar power installations in 2015. Germany, Spain and likely Japan and the United States would have more solar power installations.

The earlier China energy plan was reported here

Targets disclosed early 2011           December, 2011 targets for 2015   
 Hydropower                250                              260   
 Wind                       90                              100   
 Solar                       5                               15   
 Bio-energy                 13                               13   
 Geothermal                N/A                                0.1   
 Tidal wave                N/A                           0.01-0.02   

Nuclear is targeted for 40 GW which is the equivalent of 200 GW of solar and 160 GW of wind. Higher capacity factor for nuclear.




The ambitious move may have been encouraged by a rapid increase in solar power installation in recent months after the government unified grid feed-in tariffs for solar projects for the first time in July, and offered a higher price for projects that would be put into operation before the year end



World Solar Power Installations in 2011

The list of top solar power installations by country in 2011

Top 6 solar countries in 2011 by new PV installations (in MW).

Source: IHS iSuppli Research, December 2011.

2011 Rank Location      2010     2011   Annual Percentage Growth 
1       Italy          3,577    6,900    92.9%
2       Germany        7,408    5,923   -20.0%
3       United States    915    2,703   195.5%
4       China            537    1,726   221.4%
5       Japan            990    1,300    31.3%
6       France           719      963    34.0%


Wikipedia with solar power statistics by country at the end of 2010

Total photovoltaic peak power capacity (MWp) at the end of 2010

   World                  39,778
   European Union         29,328
1. Germany                17,320
2. Spain                   3,892
3. Japan                   3,617
4. Italy                   3,502
5. United States           2,519
6. Czech Republic          1,953
7. France                  1,025
8. China                     893

2011 Rank Location total installed   
1 Germany        23,243
2 Italy          10,402
3 United States   5,222
4 Japan           4,917
5 Spain           4,400(e)
6 China           2,619
7 Czech Republic  2,300-2,600 (e) 
8 France          1,988


2015 Rank Location Projected installed Solar (per Nextbigfuture)
1 Germany        45,000
2 Italy          18,000 (slower growth because of economic problems)
3 United States  17,000
4 Japan          16,000 (faster shift based on Fukushima reaction)
5 China          15,000 (increased solar target)
6 Spain           6,000 (slowdown because of economic problems)


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