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February 10, 2011

Updated list of expected new nuclear reactors worldwide

IAEA Power Reactor Information System lists dates for expected new reactors

Kudankulam-1    PWR India        1000 MWe Gross 2011/02/28
BUSHEHR 1       PWR Iran         1000 MWE Gross 2011/05/15
Shin-Wolsong-1  PWR South Korea  1000 MWe Gross 2011/05/28
Chasnupp 2      PWR Pakistan      325 MWe Gross 2011/05/31
Shin-Kori-2     PWR South Korea  1000 MWe Gross 2011/08/01
Kusankulam-2    PWR India        1000 MWe Gross 2011/08/31
Shimane 3       BWR Japan        1373 MWe Gross 2012/03/15

Qinshan 2-4     PWR China         650 MWe Gross 2012/03/28
Shin-Wolsong-2  PWR South Korea  1000 MWe Gross 2012/05/28
Atucha 2        PHWR Argentina    745 MWe Gross 2012/07/06
Watts Bar-2     PWR USA Tennessee 1218 MWe Gross 2012/08/01



World Nuclear Association list of expected new reactors

Ones with dates in 2011 and 2012 that do not have a start date in IAEA database might be delayed. Russian and Taiwanese reactors have no starts dates in the IAEA database. Canada's reactors are not classified as new in the IAEA database.

2012    India   Kalpakkam     FBR       470 MWe
2011    Russia  Kalinin 4     PWR       950 MWe
2012    Taiwan  Lungmen 1     ABWR     1300 MWe
2012  Canada  Bruce A1      PHWR      769 MWe
2013  Canada  Bruce A2      PHWR      769 MWe
2012    Finland Olkilouto 3    PWR     1600 MWe
2012    Taiwan  Lungmen 2     ABWR     1300
2012    Canada  Point Lepreau 1 PHWR  635
2012    France  Flamanville 3  PWR    1600
2012    Russia  Vilyuchinsk  PWR x 2  70
2012    Russia  Novovoronezh II-1 PWR  1070
2012    Slovakia Mochovce 3     PWR     440
2012    China   Hongyanhe 1     PWR    1080
2012    China   Ningde 1        PWR    1080 

2013    China   Sanmen 1        PWR  1250
2013    China   Ningde 2        PWR  1080
2013    China   Yangjiang 1     PWR  1080
2013    China   Taishan 1       PWR  1700
2013    China   Fangjiashan 1   PWR  1080
2013    China   Fuqing 1        PWR  1080
2013    China   Hongyanhe 2     PWR  1080
2013    Slovakia Mochovce 4     PWR  440
2014    China   Sanmen 2        PWR  1250
2014    China   Haiyang 1       PWR  1250
2014    China   Ningde 3        PWR  1080
2014    China   Hongyanhe 3     PWR  1080
2014    China   Hongyanhe 4     PWR  1080
2015    China   Yangjiang 2     PWR  1080
2014    China   Fangjiashan 2   PWR  1080
2014    China   Fuqing 2        PWR  1080
2014    China   Changiang 1     PWR  650
2014    China   Shidaowan       HTR  200 Pebble bed
2014    Korea   Shin-Kori 4     PWR  1350
2014    Japan   Fukishima I-7  ABWR  1380
2014    Japan   Ohma           ABWR  1350
2014    Russia  Rostov 3        PWR  1070
2014    Russia  Beloyarsk 4     FNR  750
2015    Japan   Fukishima I-8  ABWR  1380
2015    China   Yangjiang 3     PWR  1080
2015    China   Haiyang 2       PWR  1250
2015    China   Taishan 2       PWR  1700
2015    China   Ningde 4        PWR  1080
2015    China   Hongyanhe 5     PWR  1080
2015    China   Fangchenggang 1 PWR  1080
2015    China   Changiang 2     PWR  650
2015    China   Hongshiding 1   PWR  1080
2015    China   Taohuajiang 1   PWR  1250
2015    China   Fuqing 3        PWR  1080
2015    Korea   Shin-Ulchin 1   PWR  1350
2015    Japan   Higashidori 1  ABWR  1385
2015    Japan   Kaminoseki 1   ABWR  1373
2015    India   Kakrapar 3     PHWR  640
2015    Bulgaria Belene 1       PWR  1000
2016    Korea   Shin-Ulchin 2   PWR  1350
2016    Romania Cernavoda 3    PHWR  655
2016    Russia  Novovoronezh II-2 PWR 1070
2016    Russia  Leningrad II-2  PWR  1200
2016    Russia  Rostov 4        PWR  1200
2016    Russia  Baltic 1        PWR  1200
2016    Russia  Seversk 1       PWR  1200
2016    Ukraine Khmelnitsky 3   PWR  1000
2016    India   Kakrapar 4     PHWR  640
2016    India   Rajasthan 7    PHWR  640
2016    China   several      
2017    Russia  Leningrad II-3  PWR  1200
2017    Ukraine Khmelnitsky 4  PWR  1000
2017    India   Rajasthan 8  PHWR  640
2017    Romania Cernavoda 4  PHWR  655
2017    China,  several      

China is adding 80 GW of coal power this year. All of the non-coal energy technologies have to step up so that they can displace adding coal entirely and then allow old coal to be displaced. I would like to see 200 GW per year of new nuclear or 800 GW per year of wind and solar. Of course the wind and solar have to have either energy storage or natural gas (or nuclear backup) or an serious large buildup of grid to allow balancing of power to handle the intermittent nature of solar and wind. China is not fully rolling on its nuclear buildout and neither are other countries and China will start exporting reactors that are 2-3 times cheaper.

I can see nuclear scaling up to 40-80 GW per year additions worldwide in the 2020-2030 timeframe.

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