September 10, 2010

Cellphone OS Forecast for 2011 and 2014

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The worldwide mobile operating system (OS) market will be dominated by Symbian and Android, as the two OSs will account for 59.8 percent of mobile OS sales by 2014, according to Gartner, Inc.

Forecast: Mobile Communications Device Open OS Sales to End Users by OS (Thousands of Units)
 OS               2009       2010       2011     2014
 
Symbian            80,876     107,662    141,279    264,352
Market Share (%)       46.9        40.1       34.2      30.2
 
Android             6,798.4    47,462     91,938    259,306
Market Share (%)        3.9        17.7       22.2      29.6
 
Research In Motion 34,346.8    46,923     62,198    102,580
Market Share (%)       19.9        17.5       15.0      11.7
 
iOS                24,889.8    41,462     70,740    130,393
Market Share (%)       14.4        15.4       17.1      14.9
 
Windows Phone      15,031.1    12,687     21,309     34,490
Market Share (%)        8.7         4.7        5.2       3.9
 
Other OS           10,431.9    12,588     26,017     84,453
Market Share (%)        6.1         4.7        6.3       9.6
 
Total Market      172,374.3   268,784    413,481    875,574
Source: Gartner (August 2010)
IDC had a similar forecast of market share in 2014

Worldwide Converged Mobile Device Operating System Market Shares and 2010-2014 Growth 
Operating System 2010 Market Share  2014 Market Share  2014/2010
                                                          Change

 
Symbian                         40.1%             32.9%   -18.0%
 
BlackBerry OS                   17.9%             17.3%    -3.5%
 
Android                         16.3%             24.6%    51.2%
 
iOS                             14.7%             10.9%   -25.8%
 
Windows Mobile                   6.8%              9.8%    43.3%
 
Others                           4.2%              4.5%     8.3%
 
Total                          100.0%            100.0%


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