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January 24, 2010

Tracking Prediction of Avatar Becoming world and domestic number one box office

The week 6 weekend domestic box office for Avatar was $36 million. This was a 16% drop from the previous weekends $42 million. The foreign markets do not report until tomorrow, but should have about $100-120 million.

The rest of the week should probably have a little over $3 million per day domestically.

Previous nextbigfuture Avatar Projections - Predictions
Week 6 - $260 million est, $1.97 billion world, $570 million domestic
Week 7 - $200 million est, $2.17 billion world, $610 million domestic
Week 8 - $150 million est, $2.32 billion world, $630 million domestic
Week 9 - $115 million est, $2.44 billion world, $650 million domestic

Tomorrow (Jan 25, 2010) the Titanic non-inflation adjusted record of $1.84 billion will be broken. The Titanic domestic non-inflation adjusted domestic record should be broken Feb 1-6, 2010. Jan 24, 2010 the worldwide total for Avatar is $1.836 billion.


Shift in updated projections (foreign market performance is critical)
Week 6 New - $220 million est, $1.92 billion world, $565-566 million domestic
Week 7 - $180 million est, $2.1 billion world, $605 million domestic
Week 8 - $130 million est, $2.23 billion world, $627 million domestic
Week 9 - $100 million est, $2.33 billion world, $645 million domestic

Week 6 Actual

Week 6 - $1.90 billion world, $564.5 million domestic




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