I think this project has similarities to the human genome project. There is value and things to be learned in having a precise functioning computer model of a human brain and even parts of a human brain. There will be even more to learn when we can affordably make many such models for different people. A follow on goal of the human genome project is to sequence the genomes of 100,000 people, which is a step towards to goal of everyone having a copy of their personal genome. The follow on to Blue Brain or other projects to simulate the human brain is to simulate the brains of different types of people and then personal brain simulations. In parallel would be whole body simulations down to the intracellular and then molecular level. After you have working systems you can reduce the complexity where it is unnecessary. For example 1% of the genome is where important differences between people is located. Of course long running and molecularly accurate personal brain simulations would be equivalent to mind uploading.
A whole human brain has 100 billion neurons and 1 trillion synapses. So they need to scale up the neurons by 10 million times and the synapses by 33,000 times. They believe the computing power to do this will be available in less than 10 years. So by 2017, there should a single whole brain simulation. Personalized whole brain simulation would follow by 2027-2037.
Benefits of the blue brain project
Gathering and Testing 100 Years of Data
Cracking the Neural Code
The Neural Code refers to how the brain builds objects using electrical patterns. In the same way that the neuron is the elementary cell for computing in the brain, the NCC is the elementary network for computing in the neocortex. Creating an accurate replica of the NCC which faithfully reproduces the emergent electrical dynamics of the real microcircuit, is an absolute requirement to revealing how the neocortex processes, stores and retrieves information.
Understanding Neocortical Information Processing
A Novel Tool for Drug Discovery for Brain Disorders
A Global Facility [to test theories of brain function]
A Foundation for Whole Brain Simulations
A Foundation for Molecular Modeling of Brain Function
Now that the column is finished, the project is pursuing two separate goals:
- construction of a simulation on the molecular level, which is desirable since it allows to study effects of gene expression;
- simplification of the column simulation to allow for parallel simulation of large numbers of connected columns, with the ultimate goal of simulating a whole neocortex (which in humans consists of about 1 million cortical columns).
UPDATE: reader svante pointed out the need for non-destructive brain scanning for personalized brain simulation. It would be needed and below is a survey of the current status of that work.
There has been precise monitoring of animal brain function via 2 photon microscopy. They used a clear window into living brains. If the functional end of the microscopes could be a lot smaller and placed under the skull then that would gather a lot more of info needed for personalizing the scans.
There is also detection of chemical reactions in living human cells
Other advances in faster and more sensitive cell viewing
MIT group working on making brain cell activity monitoring
An optical microscope has better than 10nm resolution
Al fin comments about this bottom up approach and the progress on top down analysis of brain function and the merging both efforts.